Introduction The United States remains the epicenter of global finance, with its bond, credit, equity, and tech markets shaping investment flows worldwide. In 2025, amid rising interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, and post-pandemic recalibrations, investors are asking: are U.S. markets overvalued? Are certain sectors in a bubble? And how do current indicators compare to historical benchmarks? This post offers a comprehensive analysis of the U.S. financial landscape, drawing on data from Statista , OECD , and the World Bank . 1. The Bond Market: Historical Trends and 2025 Snapshot Treasury Yields and the Yield Curve In July 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.59% , the highest among developed economies. The yield curve remains inverted , with 2-year yields exceeding 10-year rates—a classic recession signal. Historical comparison: In 2000 (dot-com bubble), the 10-year yield was ~6.5%. In 2008 (pre-crisis), ~4.0%. In 2020 (pandemic), ~0.6%. The c...
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