Turning Fibonacci from a visual crutch into a robust decision framework Fibonacci retracement is seductive: clean lines, iconic ratios, and the satisfying sense that price “respects” geometry. But markets are not Euclidean—they are noisy, adaptive, and reflexive. If you use Fibonacci as a drawing tool, you’ll get drawing-level results. If you use it as a framework—with standardized swing logic, probabilistic validation, confluence rules, and risk-first execution—you can turn those lines into a disciplined edge. This chapter dives very deep into where Fibonacci fails, why it fails, and how to engineer best practices that hold up in real trading and systematic testing. 6.1 Common pitfalls Subjectivity: swing points vary by timeframe and analyst Fibonacci analysis begins with picking a swing high and swing low, but that’s already a minefield. Ambiguous impulses: In real markets, you’ll often see overlapping swings, nested corrections, and failed breakouts. Your “obvious” swing might be a...
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