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Showing posts from October, 2025

Fundamental Analysis Case Study NVIDIA

  Executive summary NVIDIA is analyzed here using the full fundamental framework: balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement, valuation multiples, sector comparison, sensitivity scenarios, and investment checklist. The company shows exceptional profitability, strong cash generation, conservative liquidity and net cash, and premium valuation multiples justified only if high growth and margin profiles persist. Key investment considerations are growth sustainability in data center and AI, margin durability, geopolitical and supply risks, and valuation sensitivity to execution. The detailed numerical work below uses the exact metrics you provided. Company profile and market context Business model and market position Company NVIDIA Corporation, leader in GPUs, AI accelerators, and related software platforms. Core revenue streams : data center GPUs and systems, gaming GPUs, professional visualization, automotive, software and services. Strategic advantage : GPU architecture, C...

How Digital Nomads and Remote Work Are Reshaping Europe: Cities, Costs, and Community Responses

  Cities and towns across Europe are changing in subtle but unmistakable ways. Cafés fill at midday with laptops, landlords convert long-term flats into furnished stays, and local shops shift toward higher-margin services aimed at transient, well-spending visitors. For many residents the changes bring investment and new jobs; for others they mean higher rents, fewer long-term homes, and a shifting sense of place. This article explains where the changes are strongest, what they cost in practical terms, who benefits and who loses, and which realistic steps communities, landlords and remote workers can take now. Why remote work and nomadism matter for neighborhoods Fast internet, looser employer policies and targeted visa schemes have made long stays outside home countries simple and attractive for many professionals. That demand concentrates in neighbourhoods offering walkability, cafés, coworking spaces and good transport links. When dozens or hundreds of remote workers set up in th...

Part III: Fibonacci in Financial Markets

  Geometry of Price, Probabilistic Zones, and Strategic Forecasting Fibonacci theory has transcended its mathematical origins to become a foundational tool in financial analysis. Its ratios—derived from recursive growth and the Golden Ratio—are used to identify retracement zones, project extension targets, and define support/resistance levels with geometric precision. But beyond chart overlays, Fibonacci offers a probabilistic framework for understanding market psychology, wave dynamics, and nonlinear price behavior. In this post, we’ll explore: The mathematical derivation and logic behind Fibonacci ratios How retracement levels reflect market structure and behavioral thresholds Real-world examples with EUR/USD and AAPL Extension targets and their role in breakout forecasting Integration with Elliott Wave Theory and harmonic patterns Quantitative modeling in R/Python for automated analysis 🔢 3.1 Core Ratios: Mathematical Derivation and Market Interpretation Fibonacci ratios used i...

The Black-Litterman Model: A Modern Approach to Portfolio Optimization

  In the ever-evolving world of portfolio management, the classic Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) model developed by Harry Markowitz laid the foundation for constructing efficient portfolios. But despite its elegance, MVO suffers from serious flaws— instability, unintuitive asset weights, and extreme sensitivity to input assumptions. Enter the Black-Litterman Model , developed in 1990 by Fischer Black and Robert Litterman of Goldman Sachs. This model elegantly blends market equilibrium with investor views, solving many of the practical issues inherent in traditional MVO.  What Is the Black-Litterman Model? The Black-Litterman Model (BLM) is a Bayesian approach to portfolio optimization that combines a prior (the market equilibrium) with subjective views to generate more robust, stable expected returns and asset weights. Rather than relying solely on historical data or volatile forecasts, the BLM starts from the implied returns of the market (reverse-optimized) an...

The QA Tester in 2025 and Beyond: why the profession will grow — and how to prepare

Quality Assurance is no longer an afterthought. As software becomes distributed, AI-infused, and mission-critical, QA testers are evolving into Quality Engineers who protect revenue, compliance, and brand trust. This article explains the forces reshaping the role, the concrete skills and practices that separate top performers, and evidence-based forecasts for job demand and salary trajectories in the coming years. Why QA matters more than ever Modern software complexity increases the cost of defects: microservices, continuous delivery, third-party integrations and ML components multiply failure modes and regulatory exposure. Organizations that treat quality as strategic reduce churn, speed releases, and avoid costly incidents that damage reputation and revenue. Business impact: quality correlates directly with customer retention, conversion and operational costs; metrics like defect escape rate and MTTR map to revenue and brand trust. Market demand: QA roles are evolving into Quality E...

The Systemic Bubble of Artificial Intelligence and Debt: Why the Risk Is Real and What the Numbers Say

  The wave of investment in artificial intelligence in recent years increasingly resembles a collective fever: vast capital flows, ambitious projects, sprawling data centers and multibillion-dollar acquisitions. Beneath the enthusiasm lie two dangerous dynamics that can converge into a systemic shock: overestimation of AI-driven future revenues and heavy indebtedness used to finance infrastructure and growth. Central banks, international organizations and market analysts report measurable signals that the risk is not theoretical. Why this is a bubble and not just hype A financial bubble appears when asset prices diverge from the economic fundamentals that should justify them. The AI case shows three classic bubble indicators: large and rapid capital flows concentrated in a few companies or sectors; revenue expectations difficult to realize in the short term; extensive use of debt and leverage that amplifies contagion risk. Current market behavior around AI has produced these signal...

Post-Modern Portfolio Theory (PMPT): A More Realistic Approach to Risk

  In the decades since Harry Markowitz revolutionized investing with Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) in the 1950s, portfolio managers and researchers have relied on its framework to optimize risk and return. But as the financial world has evolved—and with it our understanding of risk— Modern Portfolio Theory has shown some critical limitations . That’s where Post-Modern Portfolio Theory (PMPT) comes in. Developed in the 1980s and 1990s , PMPT retains the core principles of MPT but introduces a more refined definition of risk —one that reflects how investors actually perceive losses . Rather than treating all volatility as equally bad, PMPT focuses only on downside risk —the kind that keeps investors up at night.  What Is Post-Modern Portfolio Theory? Post-Modern Portfolio Theory builds upon MPT but addresses its biggest flaw: its treatment of risk . While MPT uses standard deviation (total volatility) as a proxy for risk, PMPT recognizes that investors care more about...